Visualizing the Progression of the Coronavirus OutbreakFriday, February 14, 2020
A few days ago I published an article and analyzed the social impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) in China. However, some people in general still lack a full understanding of this outbreak. I thought it’d be interesting to visualize the situation from a more objective perspective.
How to start
First, I start with web scraping to extract the data from China’s National Health Commission and use Tableau to visualize the outbreak progression spatially. I also create a dashboard where we could easily toggle between the dates and provinces for a closer look.
By Ashley from Tableau Public
Please note that the data I’ve collected is up to February 11. As you read this article, the data may be off the mark and can’t reflect the current situation of this outbreak. I will explain there is an easy way to keep up with the live data later in the article. I used a web scraping tool to extract data instead of coding since it can transmit the data to a feasible format without data cleaning.
Choose a data source:
If you google coronavirus data, I’m sure you will find many resources. Sources like Kaggle and WHO are both secondary data collected by others which lag behind the latest data from the primary source like the Chinese official health website. If you are a data analyst who has strict standards regarding the accuracy and timeliness, you should avoid drawing conclusions with the secondary data. So what source should you use? Primary data is what you choose. At this point, I chose Coronavirus Update Source as it is saved as JSON, enabling us to stream the data for individual cities to our system through an API pipeline. (Read this guideline of a JSON file)
Another way to extract the live data is by using a scraping template as I did from the last article. It’s a cut and dry solution for people who can’t do coding (Watch this video to get details). You can set a task scheduler in order to get up-to-the-minute data. Here is the data I’ve collected and felt free to play with it.
Data Visualization with Tableau
After getting a sheer volume of data, we can upload it to Tableau. I first create a map layer by simply dragging the Province/State to the drop fields. After that, I add time-series and accumulate values to give a full look of the data trends over each province. I draw out Hubei province as I can take special care of its data trends. The map shows a historical spread of Coronavirus over the last 20 days since January 22nd. As of February 11th, the number of confirmed infections in Hubei alone hit 33,366.
We can tell that besides Hubei, this outbreak has a large impact on Guangdong, Zhejiang, Hunan and Henan as well.
Notice the reported cases from Hubei are significantly greater than all the others combined. I create a group and divide them into two categories: Hubei and Others. To get a better idea where this outbreak leads to, I also add trend lines to analyze the current situation. And you can notice that both Hubei and others begin to slide underneath the trendline which indicates a tendency of declining in confirm cases. However, the death toll doesn’t show a positive change as the numbers are still above the trendline.
Confirmed Cases of Hubei VS. Others
Death Toll of Hubei VS. Others
The recovery rate among provinces besides Hubei seems to be some cheerful news as the trendline is stiffer over time, and more places move upwards with an indication of inclining in the recovery. The recovery rate will continue to grow as people now are taking prompt actions to defeat the virus.
Recovery Rate Growth
I made animation since it is a great way to understand the big picture where we are able to see the progression of this outbreak. Once we visualize the data, it becomes much easier to analyze. The biggest challenge in data analysis is data collection. I usually would invest most of the time on mindless labor work. Often, I also need to repair the data format manually. I found that a web scraping tool can greatly elevate them productively. However, I wouldn’t recommend abusing and scraping any website excessively. This would lead to serious legal consequences. Check out this article for more information: Is web crawling legal?
I will work to improve the visualization and feel free to share your thoughts and email me.
Ashley is a data enthusiast and passionate blogger with hands-on experience in web scraping. She focuses on capturing web data and analyzing in a way that empowers companies and businesses with actionable insights. Read her blog here to discover practical tips and applications on web data extraction